AUS Vs IND: Rain To Play Spoiler In Adelaide? Here’s The Hourly Weather Forecast For 2nd ODI

Cricket’s most fiercely contested modern rivalry resumes under the lights of Adelaide Oval on October 23, 2025, as Australia and India prepare for a crucial second ODI of their three-match series. After a rain-hit defeat in Perth that saw the hosts go 1–0 up, Shubman Gill’s men now find themselves in a must-win situation to keep the series alive.

While the first encounter was shaped by weather and swing, Adelaide presents a different kind of challenge — overcast skies, brisk winds, and a venue known for high-scoring thrillers. The conditions may favour batters, but India’s road to redemption will not be easy. They face a confident Australian unit that’s found momentum at just the right time, and a captain in Mitchell Marsh who seems to thrive in pressure moments.

India’s Redemption Mission Begins

For Shubman Gill, the Perth ODI was a harsh initiation into the pressures of full-time captaincy. A truncated game, a top-order collapse, and Australia’s relentless pace attack combined to produce a forgettable debut as ODI captain. However, cricket’s beauty lies in its opportunities for quick redemption — and Gill now gets one in Adelaide.

The 25-year-old knows the importance of this game. India cannot afford another defeat, not just to stay alive in the series, but to restore the aura of resilience that has defined them in recent years. “The intent is to bounce back with clarity and aggression,” Gill said in the pre-match press conference. “Adelaide is a venue where you get value for your shots. We just need to trust our instincts and play fearless cricket.”

Backing him are the seasoned stalwarts Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli, both eager to erase the memories of Perth. While Rohit struggled with timing in the swinging conditions, Kohli looked composed before an unplayable delivery from Hazlewood ended his stay.

This time, however, Kohli will take comfort from his phenomenal record at the Adelaide Oval — two centuries in four ODIs, averaging 61 at the venue. His balance, temperament, and ability to play late against swing make him India’s most reliable weapon against the moving ball.

“Adelaide brings out something special in Virat,” said a team insider. “He loves the atmosphere here, the bounce suits his game, and the straight boundaries encourage his timing-based play.”

Rohit and Gill: The Need for a Solid Start

The opening partnership remains key for India. Rohit Sharma and Shubman Gill must absorb the early movement from Starc and Hazlewood under potentially cloudy skies. Perth exposed India’s vulnerability against the new ball, and Adelaide offers little respite — swing early, bounce late, and movement under lights.

India’s batting depth, though impressive on paper, depends heavily on a steady start. Shreyas Iyer, KL Rahul, and Axar Patel form a reliable middle order, while Yashasvi Jaiswal may retain his spot as an aggressive floater depending on conditions.

The strategy will likely revolve around rotating strike, avoiding dot-ball pressure, and accelerating during the middle overs when the ball loses hardness.

Adelaide: A Venue of History and Unpredictability

Few venues in world cricket combine beauty and unpredictability like Adelaide Oval. Its aesthetic charm — the cathedral backdrop, the lush outfield, and a flat surface — often hides the challenges it presents.

Adelaide has been a mixed hunting ground for India. While they have recorded some famous wins here, including Virat Kohli’s memorable century in 2014 and the T20I triumphs in recent years, they’ve also endured batting collapses when conditions turned overcast.

The pitch here traditionally offers true bounce and value for timing, but overhead weather can completely change the equation. Fast bowlers get seam movement in the first 10 overs, and as the day progresses, the surface flattens for stroke play. Under lights, however, swing often returns, making chases tricky unless set up perfectly.

Weather Watch: The X-Factor at Adelaide

If there’s one unpredictable character in this series, it’s the weather. After a frustrating stop-start affair in Perth, all eyes are on Adelaide’s skies.

Thankfully, the forecast paints a brighter picture — a 20% chance of precipitation, meaning a full 50-over contest is highly likely. Yet, the overcast and windy conditions could still influence the ball’s behavior, especially in the afternoon session.

Let’s take a closer look at the hourly weather outlook for match day:

Time (Local)	Temperature	Real Feel	Rain Probability	Sky Conditions	Wind	Humidity	UV Index	Remarks
2 PM	18°C	21°C	0%	Partly sunny	WSW 19 km/h	55%	8.5 (Very High)	Ideal for batting, mild breeze
3 PM	18°C	20°C	0%	Mostly sunny	WSW 19 km/h	57%	6.2 (High)	Strong gusts up to 24 km/h
4 PM	18°C	19°C	0%	Mostly sunny	SW 17 km/h	60%	4.2 (Moderate)	Balanced swing chances
5 PM	17°C	17°C	0%	Sunny	SW 17 km/h	62%	2.7 (Moderate)	Perfect for batting as light fades
6 PM	17°C	16°C	0%	Partly sunny	SW 17 km/h	64%	1.6 (Low)	Comfortable twilight period
7 PM	16°C	14°C	0%	Intermittent clouds	SSW 17 km/h	66%	0.6 (Low)	Cooler phase begins
8 PM	15°C	13°C	0%	Mostly cloudy	SSW 15 km/h	66%	0	Dew formation likely
9 PM	13°C	11°C	0%	Cloudy	S 13 km/h	73%	0	Swing likely to increase
10 PM	11°C	9°C	0%	Cloudy	SSE 13 km/h	80%	0	High dew, aiding spin and grip
11 PM	11°C	9°C	0%	Cloudy	SE 11 km/h	82%	0	Cold, damp finish, chasing easier

By all indications, the match should proceed uninterrupted, much to the relief of players and fans. Afternoon batting looks ideal, while evening conditions could slightly favor the team bowling second due to dew and mild swing.

Australia’s Confidence and Continuity

Australia, buoyed by their commanding victory in Perth, approach this clash with momentum and clarity. Captain Mitchell Marsh continues to grow into his leadership role, blending aggressive intent with calm control. His personal form — both with bat and as a motivator — has given the home side a confident edge.

Travis Head and Marnus Labuschagne remain the anchors of the Australian top order, while Matthew Short and Josh Philippe provide flexibility and aggression in the middle overs. All-rounders Mitchell Owen and Cooper Connolly, the rising stars of this new-look squad, add balance and dynamism.

The biggest talking point, however, remains the Australian pace trio. Mitchell Starc, Josh Hazlewood, and Nathan Ellis exploited the Perth conditions expertly, and they’ll once again be the key in Adelaide’s overcast afternoon. Starc’s late swing and Hazlewood’s precision could trouble India’s top order early.

“We’re not overthinking the surface,” Marsh said. “It’s about executing our plans. Adelaide rewards smart cricket — we just have to stay disciplined.”

Key Battles to Watch

Rohit Sharma vs Mitchell Starc

A battle of experience and pace. Starc’s inswinging yorkers have haunted Rohit in the past, but the Indian captain’s counter-attacking mindset might flip the script. If Rohit gets through Starc’s first spell, India will breathe easier.

Virat Kohli vs Josh Hazlewood

One of modern cricket’s most fascinating duels continues. Kohli’s precision against Hazlewood’s immaculate line makes this a contest of technique versus tenacity. Expect probing lengths and patient strokes.

Shreyas Iyer vs Nathan Ellis

Iyer’s ability to handle slower balls and cutters will be tested by Ellis, who has made a habit of deceiving batters with variations. The middle overs could hinge on this match-up.

Marsh vs Siraj

The duel between Marsh’s power-hitting and Siraj’s aggression could define Australia’s innings. Siraj’s success in finding early rhythm will be key for India.

Pitch and Conditions: What to Expect

The Adelaide Oval pitch promises a fine balance between bat and ball. The surface, prepared with minimal grass cover this week, should encourage true bounce and smooth carry. Early overs might assist seamers, especially with the expected crosswinds, but as the sun shines through, batting should become easier.

By the evening, dew could play a big role, especially for the side bowling second. Fielding under lights might prove challenging, with slippery outfields and cooler air reducing grip.

Spinners may not get sharp turn, but Axar Patel and Kuldeep Yadav could still extract grip in the second innings if the surface dries out by mid-afternoon.

Predicted XIs

India:

Rohit Sharma
Shubman Gill (c)
Virat Kohli
Shreyas Iyer
KL Rahul (wk)
Yashasvi Jaiswal / Axar Patel
Axar Patel / Washington Sundar
Mohammed Siraj
Arshdeep Singh
Harshit Rana
Kuldeep Yadav

Australia:

Travis Head
Mitchell Marsh (c)
Marnus Labuschagne
Matthew Short
Josh Philippe (wk)
Cooper Connolly
Mitchell Owen
Mitchell Starc
Josh Hazlewood
Nathan Ellis
Matthew Kuhnemann

What the Toss Could Decide

In Adelaide, the toss often defines strategy. The ground’s evening dew and chasing advantage have historically favored teams batting second. In ODIs since 2015, sides chasing under lights at this venue have won over 60 percent of matches.

Gill may look to bowl first if the skies stay cloudy, trusting Siraj and Arshdeep to exploit movement. Marsh, meanwhile, could do the same — hoping Starc and Hazlewood strike early and leave the chase to the likes of Head and Labuschagne.

Stat Box: India vs Australia at Adelaide Oval

Total ODIs played: 13
Australia wins: 8
India wins: 5
Highest Team Total: 303/9 (Australia, 2012)
Highest Individual Score: 108 (Virat Kohli, 2019)
Best Bowling Figures: 5/26 (Brett Lee, 2003)

Kohli’s brilliance and India’s late-era composure have narrowed the gap, but Adelaide remains a ground where early wickets are crucial. Lose momentum here, and the game can drift away quickly.

Match Prediction: A Thriller Beckons

Both teams enter Adelaide with something to prove — India with their backs to the wall, Australia eager to clinch the series early.

If conditions remain dry and batting-friendly, India’s top order could roar back, with Kohli and Gill leading a strong recovery. However, the early overcast spell might tilt momentum towards Australia’s fast bowlers.

If India bat first: Expect a total around 310–320, with Kohli anchoring the innings.
If Australia bat first: A score near 290–300 looks par, given dew and chasing advantage.

Predicted Result:

A tight contest, but India hold a slight edge if they chase under lights. Expect a thrilling finish — and perhaps a Kohli masterclass in familiar territory.

As the lights of Adelaide Oval glow against the twilight sky, both teams will carry more than just tactical plans — they’ll carry pride, legacy, and the spirit of one of cricket’s grandest rivalries.

For India, this match isn’t just about squaring the series — it’s about restoring belief under a young leader. For Australia, it’s a chance to assert home dominance and test their next generation against world-class competition.

One thing is certain: Adelaide under lights never disappoints. With weather clear, conditions dynamic, and stakes sky-high, the stage is set for another unforgettable India–Australia classic.

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